Sounds complicated, but it’s not! Since I need to run the marathon in 3 hours, 10 minutes to qualify for Boston, my 800 pace becomes 3 minutes, 10 seconds. Replace hours by minutes and minutes by seconds to get your 800 meter pace. These three marathon prediction methods well help you do that, and avoid the race-day disaster that so many runners experience. You need a better idea of how fast you can reasonably expect to run. And a good rule of thumb is that for every minute too fast that you run the first half of a marathon, you’ll lose two minutes in the second half. The problem is that you didn’t know what you were capable of and had no idea how fast to run. What happened? You were so disciplined in your training, and you tried to listen to your body on race day. By 17, you’re not sure you can even finish the race. By Mile 16, the idea of a quick walk break sounds great. For the first time, you notice your legs feel heavy. And then disaster strikes.Īt Mile 15, it hits you. You’re rocking your first race, and everything is great. You cross the halfway point five minutes faster than you had planned based on your training pace. You’re running a little faster than you’ve trained, but hey, it’s race day, and you’re charged with adrenaline. Let’s say you’re cruising through your first marathon.
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